A new season, a new special computer crunching the numbers to determine the final Premier League positions for 2016/17.
Fans who want to watch the Euro Club Index’s final results after each matchday can do so by clicking here.
Who goes down?! Who is the current favourite to lift the title this year.
Well you don’t have to guess, the link above will tell you, as will looking further down this piece.
With most playing at least 28 games in the Premier League season of 2016/17, the current favourite to lift the title by a whopping 98.5% are the current leaders – Chelsea. Their position hasn’t changed for most of the season, the % chance of them lifting the crown just keeps rising.
The computer currently has them remaining in top spot, ahead of Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City (who swap positions) with Tottenham Hotspur now given a predicted points total of 78. Twelve points behind Chelsea but only two points ahead of Manchester City.
Liverpool and Manchester United take third and fourth place with a predicted points tally of 73 and 72 respectively, but Arsenal plummet into sixth place now only expected to reach the 70 mark.
The three sides currently predicted for the drop are Hull City on 35, Middlesbrough on 32 and Sunderland down on only 29.
With roughly 28 games gone this year (give or take those on 29 and those on 27) there is no fairytale repeat given Leicester City’s entirely unexpected success last season, and other sides like Chelsea hugely falling away based on their own expectations – and the top six now contains the clubs you would more naturally expect there but maybe not entirely in the order you’d anticipate.
Looking seventh place and down the table it’s also taking on a more expected appearance but West Bromwich Albion are bucking the trend in eighth place, and others like Stoke City, Leicester City and West Ham United will be pleased with their expected finish – but they certainly aren’t alone.
The one thing that can’t be denied with us now well past the half way stage is a number of clubs will now be very disappointed with where they find themselves and they’ll be looking for a significant turn of form quickly as obviously there’s a long way to go yet and plenty of points still up for grabs.
The methodology can be found on the website via the above link.
|
Pos
|
Team
|
Matches
|
Real Points
|
Pred Points
|
Title %
|
|
1
|
Chelsea
|
28
|
69
|
90
|
98.5
|
|
2
|
Tottenham Hotspur
|
28
|
59
|
78
|
1.0
|
|
3
|
Manchester City
|
28
|
57
|
76
|
0.4
|
|
4
|
Liverpool
|
29
|
56
|
73
|
0.0
|
|
5
|
Manchester United
|
27
|
52
|
72
|
0.0
|
|
6
|
Arsenal
|
27
|
50
|
70
|
0.3
|
|
7
|
Everton
|
29
|
50
|
62
|
0.0
|
|
8
|
West Bromwich Albion
|
29
|
43
|
52
|
0.0
|
|
9
|
Southampton
|
27
|
33
|
48
|
0.0
|
|
10
|
Stoke City
|
29
|
36
|
48
|
0.0
|
|
11
|
Leicester City
|
28
|
30
|
44
|
0.0
|
|
12
|
West Ham United
|
29
|
33
|
44
|
0.0
|
|
13
|
Burnley
|
29
|
32
|
43
|
0.0
|
|
14
|
Bournemouth
|
29
|
33
|
42
|
0.0
|
|
15
|
Watford
|
28
|
31
|
40
|
0.0
|
|
16
|
Swansea City
|
29
|
27
|
38
|
0.0
|
|
17
|
Crystal Palace
|
28
|
28
|
36
|
0.0
|
|
18
|
Hull City
|
29
|
24
|
35
|
0.0
|
|
19
|
Middlesbrough
|
28
|
22
|
32
|
0.0
|
|
20
|
Sunderland
|
28
|
20
|
29
|
0.0
|
